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Last Player Picked (updated)
Update: Thanks to Brian Jenner we now have .csv files for Last Player Picked tailored to the ESPN and Yahoo! position eligibility. If you haven’t been there already, you should really check out Mays...
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Projecting Playing Time
As we get ready to revisit Steamer’s 2012 playing time projections, I thought I should take a look at which systems had the most success projecting playing time last year. Many thanks to Rudy Gamble of...
View ArticleYu Darvish and Updated Projections
We’ve updated our playing time projections and posted new sheets. The new downloads include a number of players who were missing from our initial forecasts including Yu Darvish. Yu Darvish 2012...
View ArticleThe Steamer Guide to Fantasy Draft Prep
Warning: What follows is a ridiculously Steamer-centric guide to your fantasy baseball preparation this year. If you’re looking for a fantasy baseball provider with the ability to customize rules to...
View ArticleSteamer at Saber Seminar
The folks here at Steamer Projections will be at Saber Seminar: Dash is giving a presentation on the Steamer system. Come check it out!
View ArticleUpdated Projections and Most Improved Batters
Here are the twenty “most improved” batters of the 2012 season: NamewOBA changeageold relold wOBAold AVGold OBPold SLGnew relnew wOBAnew AVGnew OBPnew SLG Mark...
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Matt Thornton’s Peers
On Saturday, when describing Steamer’s methodology at Saber Seminar, Dash presented the following graph: Referring to this graph, he suggested that, for a hypothetical left-handed reliever who throws...
View ArticleMLE kwERA 2012
Here, presented without comment, are the top 100 Major League Equivalent kwERA’s for minor league pitchers during the 2012 season (pitchers with more than 100 batters faced). Players are listed by the...
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An Extra 5 Miles per Hour
These are the run expectancy changes due to 90 and 95 mph pitches (thrown by a right-handed pitcher to a right-handed batter) by location (as seen from the catcher’s point of view). If you’re a...
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An Extra 5 Miles per Hour… v.2
Revisiting my last post, I thought it would make more sense to focus on the region in and immediately around the strike zone and to create smoother plots (click to zoom in). And here is a...
View ArticleOh, the Dreaded Bias!
Two days ago, Dave Cameron wrote about the players Steamer and Zips disagree on the most, showing that Steamer is a little down on Jurickson Profar, Bryce Harper and a few others. In the comments,...
View ArticleUpdated Steamer Projections
Our updated projections include three important additions: *Hiroyuki Nakajima, Kyuji Fujikawa and Hyun-Jin Ryu have been added. *Pitcher ERAs now take into account our team defense projections. This...
View ArticleMarch Madness: Individual Player Pools
There's an individual player pool at my wife's office. To help out, I matched seasonal PPG with Nate Silver's projected bracket (to determine how many games each player is expected to play in) and...
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Adjusting Regression Means
Strikeouts are up, walks are down and we'd changed by not changing at all. As Tango recently pointed out, Steamer was looking a a little pessimistic this year. Really, we were just a little behind the...
View ArticleThe Rosenheck Factor
Dan Rosenheck showed that pitchers who get more pop ups and more swings and misses in the strike zone tend to have lower BABIPs and lower ERAs. Steve Saude also wrote about this back in October. As...
View ArticleFinal 2013 Steamer Projections
The final batch of Steamer Projections (for posterity, I suppose) welcomes Jose Fernandez and reluctantly accepts that Johan Santana is out for the year. You can find them here.
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The Hollow Under the Knee
Dave Cameron recently suggested that the rise in strikeouts over the last 6 years could be at least partially due to changes in umpiring. On The Book Blog forum, mcbrown focused in on 0-0 counts with...
View ArticleESPN Insider: The Right “Stuff”
Here's our first ESPN Insider piece. I might follow up here with more on the methodology if folks are interested.
View ArticleESPN Insider: One-pitch Aces
Check out Dash's analysis of these unique pitchers who are trying to replicate Mariano Rivera's method of mastering one pitch in order to dominate the competition....
View ArticleSteamer Update 2/12/14
The first thing that you should know (and hopefully already do know) is that we’re up on Fangraphs. You can download the hitter and pitcher sheets from there by clicking “Export Data.” The playing time...
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